The Wednesday after Election Day all the time looks like a type of settling. Like taking one other take a look at the liquid measure after eyeballing it; you had been roughly proper the primary time, however now it is time to determine simply how far more or simply how a lot much less proper you had been.
As all the time, the large traits will not actually begin exhibiting till tomorrow, however right now King County Elections (KCE) added 47,000 ballots to their rely. Mail-in ballots and a few drop field ballots proceed to stream in, however proper now KCE has one other 125,000 accepted poll readily available. Native turnout presently sits at 32%, based on an elections division spokesperson, however we’re on observe to hit the expected 40% turnout. In reality, as of this morning, the county held about 1% extra ballots than they anticipated.
Statewide, as of press time, over half one million ballots stay to be tallied, based on the Secretary of State. (Some counties will proceed reporting after this submit, so please pardon any discrepancies.)
Although there’s nonetheless loads left to rely, let’s check out the way it’s all shaking out thus far!
On the federal degree, the race in southwest Washington’s third Congressional District stays the one actual attention-grabbing contest in the meanwhile. Incumbent Democratic Congresswoman Marie Gluesenkamp Perez presently “leads” with 46% of the vote, however when you add the 39.5% from election-denier and Republican Joe Kent to the 12.5% from Republican Leslie Lewallen, the GOP leads with 52%.
The race for distant second to longtime Congressman Adam Smith can also be price maintaining a tally of. Even with a couple of thousand extra votes in her nook, pro-Palestine challenger Melissa Chaudhry continues to path Republican transphobe Paul Martin, 18% to 19%. Smith sits on the high with 55%. Since this complete district exists inside King County, I wager Chaudhry frog-hops Martin tomorrow, which can assist keep some public stress on Smith re: Gaza.
It is price noting that Democrat Carmela Conroy made it out of the first over within the fifth Congressional District with 19.5% of the vote. She’ll tackle Republican Michael Baumgartner for Republican Congresswoman Cathy McMorris Rodgers’s previous seat. Thus far, Baumgartner leads with 28%. It’s going to take quite a bit for Dems to flip that japanese Washington district, however it’s enjoyable to dream.
Although the sixth Congressional District, which covers the peninsula, sits simply outdoors of the SECB’s sight view, it is also price noting that Democratic state Senator Emily Randall will progress to the final towards Republican state Senator Drew MacEwen, pushing out outgoing Public Lands Commissioner Hilary Franz. That is a nominal win for progressives.
Talking of the Public Lands Commissioner, King County Council Member Dave Upthegrove minimize Trumpy Washington State GOP-backed Sue Pederson’s lead a bit. Upthegrove now solely trails her by roughly 3,000 votes, down from 4,000 yesterday. If that pattern continues, he may squeak by and provides voters an actual shot at placing an environmentalist in command of the Division of Pure Sources.
When it comes to the state legislative contests typically, a spokesperson for the Washington State Democratic Celebration feels “very comfortable” and thinks there’s “an opportunity” for the social gathering to win a supermajority this cycle, however they really feel extra assured within the prospect of merely increasing their majorities in each the Home and the Senate. One place the place they see essentially the most promise is the newly drawn 14th Legislative District. Although all of the Democratic candidates look method behind now, the spokesperson stated they count on the final voters to swing 30% to 40% in favor of the Democrats as a result of “of us simply do not vote within the primaries on the market.” I will do a fuller evaluation tomorrow, however this one from comms man Aaron Sherman tells you just about all you should know:
Additionally, only for enjoyable (and since I spent an excessive amount of time in spreadsheets tonight) let’s take a main night time take a look at the conceivable pathway to a Democratic Supermajority lined by @richsssmith at @TheStranger again in April. #waelex https://t.co/GeW0l8ciDF
— Aaron T. Sherman (@ATSherman_PNW) August 7, 2024
Right here in Seattle, forty third Legislative District Democrat Shaun Scott barely elevated his lead over Florida Man Daniel Carusello and We Coronary heart Seattle Founder Andrea Suarez. Scott now leads 55% to Suarez’s 23% and Carusello’s 17%. Simply complete dominance there.
In the meantime, Stranger-endorsed citywide metropolis council candidate prolonged her lead over Seattle Metropolis Council Member Tanya Woo by about half a degree. Rinck now leads Woo 47 to 41, a completely humiliating exhibiting for an incumbent. That stated, Woo truly misplaced her metropolis council race in District 2 and solely took her seat on the dais after large enterprise pursuits instructed the remainder of the council to nominate her, so it is not like she’s truly gained something earlier than.
